Green Shoots in Retail, Jobs and Philly

Fast Facts About Today’s Economic Data U.S. Retail Sales rebounded +1.6% in March and accelerated on Y/Y Basis. Initial Jobless Claims fall for 5th week in a row. Philly Fed Index shows sharp rebound in New Orders. What Brexit? U.K. Retail Sales up +6.6% Y/Y. No...

Green Shoots in China

Fast Facts About Today’s Economic Data U.S. Trade Balance improved once again as China and EU imports plunged in February. U.S. Mortgage Purchase Applications at 9 year high. China Q1 GDP comes in just above expectations (+6.4% Y/Y) thanks to Industrial...

Alden US Morning Energy Sales Commentary

The API reported a 3.1mmb draw (Cushing: 1.6mmb), a 3.6mmb draw in mogas, and a 2.3mmb build in distillates. All-in-all a positive report although the distillate build may not auger well for the natural gas storage. XEC: Charles Robertson, Alden’s Head of Energy...

Chevron’s Bid for Anadarko Creates 3 Important Questions

We would expect additional M&A after Anadarko’s (APC) purchase by Chevron (CVX). Occidental (OXY) possible higher bid for APC according to news reports leaves at least one potential buyer looking. Devon (DVN) and Pioneer Natural (PXD) appear most likely takeouts...

U.S. Bank Statistical Report (April 2019)

Flat yield curve drives bank stock valuations down, despite signs of continued, though slower, economic growth The outlook for the U.S. economy continues to grow more subdues. We have not heard any predictions of a recession in 2019, but the word is appearing in more...

Earnings Preview – 1Q19

Slower economic growth and unfavorable yield curve present challenges, still anticipating modest EPS growth for banks in the first quarter of 2019. The economy continues to perform well in 2019, though there’s no question that the pace of growth has slowed compared to...

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